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CITIC Securities: Short-term home fundamentals are expected to usher in a window of policy improvement, and we can bargain and seize the opportunity of valuation repair. CITIC Securities recently reported that the situation in the light industry has been severe since 2024, but it still presents three bright spots: channel reconstruction of the personal care industry, internationalization of the tobacco industry and asset integration of the metal packaging industry. The above-mentioned opportunities for subdividing the track are expected to continue and be further strengthened in 2025. Short-term home fundamentals are expected to usher in a policy improvement window, which can be laid out on dips, seize the opportunity of valuation repair, pay attention to industry demand and policy continuity, and attach importance to reasonable valuation intervals. In 2025, the papermaking and paper packaging industries will benefit from the recovery of consumption.Wuhan Economic Development Zone signed a cooperation agreement with Fuao Co., Ltd., and on December 9, Wuhan Economic Development Zone signed a cooperation agreement with Fuao Auto Parts Co., Ltd. Fuao shares are laid out in Wuhan for the first time, and an automobile thermal management system project will be built in Wuhan Economic Development Zone to help transform and upgrade Wuhan auto parts industry. It is reported that Fuao's automobile thermal management system project is located in Junshan New City, mainly producing automobile air conditioning boxes and other products. The project will start in April next year and reach production in 2026. At present, Fuao Co., Ltd. has established a Wuhan branch in Wuhan Economic Development Zone. In the future, the two sides will actively promote the landing of Fuao Huazhong Base, and introduce more business sectors such as chassis system, thermal management system and new energy products to provide near-ground support for complete vehicle enterprises in Wuhan Economic Development Zone such as Lantu Automobile. (Hubei Daily)In early trading, the main domestic futures contracts rose almost across the board, with coke and glass rising by over 5%, BR rubber and coking coal rising by over 4%, screw thread and soda ash rising by over 3%, iron ore rising by nearly 3%, and hot coil, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), para-xylene (PX), PTA, Shanghai Bank, Shanghai Tin, rapeseed meal and SC crude oil rising by over 2%. In terms of decline, asphalt and low sulfur fuel oil (LU) declined slightly.

GOL Airlines of Brazil will submit a preliminary plan for debt restructuring in accordance with Chapter 11 of the US Bankruptcy Law.CITIC Securities: Scientific and Technological Progress+Policy Expectation The Internet sector is both offensive and defensive. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting on December 9, 2024 pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year, and consumption should be greatly boosted, investment efficiency should be improved, and domestic demand should be expanded in all directions. We believe that the valuation of the Internet sector has reflected the current conservative expectations, and the strong shareholder returns provide sufficient margin of safety, while the performance of the sector is expected to benefit significantly from the macro improvement, which will bring about a double-click on performance and valuation, with emphasis on recommending pro-cyclical sectors, such as e-commerce, local life, travel, freight, online recruitment, real estate service platforms, etc. Content-based companies focus on the pace of quality content supply and valuation improvement. In the long run, Internet companies lead domestic technological innovation, and artificial intelligence and autonomous driving are expected to contribute to the increase. We suggest focusing on leading Internet companies with pro-cyclical, stable competitive advantage, low valuation and stable shareholder returns.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.

CITIC Securities' Outlook for OpenAI Release: The commercialization of AI will accelerate again. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, according to its official website, OpenAI announced that it will announce new products and functions for 12 consecutive working days from December 5th. At present, the official version of o1, ChatGPT Pro, enhanced fine-tuning and other functions have been released. We expect that the main directions of subsequent release will include multimodal, Agent and platform tools, AI applications, etc. The main products will include the foresight of important products such as Sora and Operator. At present, the rapid prosperity of model ecology, considering the upgrading of model capabilities and the lowering of industrialization threshold, combined with the application landing forms such as Agent, we expect that the landing of AI applications will continue to accelerate in 2025.Analyst: "The economy is confident and the policy is unprecedented." "The economy is confident and the policy is unprecedented." Chen Xing, chief macro analyst of Caitong Securities, said that this year's economic operation is generally stable, and risks in key areas have been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. Chen Xing believes that the Politburo meeting mentioned "stabilizing the property market and stock market" for the first time, and the core is to stabilize the prices of these two types of assets, namely house prices and stock indexes, which will help to repair the balance sheet of the residential sector, thus boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand.Greater Bay Area's major projects are new! The Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage was officially opened to traffic at 15: 00 on the 11th. It was learned exclusively from Guangdong Transportation Department that the Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage Project, one of the major projects in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, will be officially opened to traffic at 15: 00 on December 11th. It takes about 30 minutes from Zhuhai, Guangdong to Jiangmen, Guangdong, and the three-dimensional traffic network in Greater Bay Area is further dense. The reporter learned that in the early stage of the opening of the project, the public will be temporarily exempted from the road tolls of the project, and the detailed fees will be disclosed separately in the next step. (CCTV)